Doug, thanks for the link to the very interesting article.
There ARE some types of cancer for which luck of the draw does seem to be a significant correlated factor, while others are more directly related to environmental factors (diet, lifestyle, etc).
THIS article (covering the same research by Tomasetti and Vogelstein) has excellent graphical representations of the research findings. The blue/green ERS ("extra risk score") chart highlights that colon cancer is equally (but opposite) as strongly correlated to assignable causes as pancreatic cancer is correlated to the stochastic (random) factors. So, what should one do with this data...? It basically says not to worry about getting pancreatic cancer, but do what you can to manage your risk of colon cancer.
While this research shows a correlation, it does not speak to the cause. It will be interesting when the causes of the random accelerated cell divisions are revealed...because now for this subset of cancer types it remains a question of which came first, the chicken or the egg; which is the cause, and which is the effect. The randomness is simply not yet understood.
Notably NOT among the research findings in this paper on cancer "randomness" is prostate cancer (or breast cancer).
INTERVIEWER: Why did you decide to exclude breast cancer and prostate cancer?
CRISTIAN TOMASETTI: We studied 31 tissue types. And what you asked is very important because breast cancer and prostate cancer — those are two very, very important cancers with extremely high incidence. The reason why we had to leave them out is that we didn’t feel that we had reliable enough estimates for how many stem cell divisions occur in those tissues in a lifetime. And to simply explain the basic idea — tissues like colon undergo divisions that, say, renew every five days or basically a week. So there is very high renewal, and it’s pretty linear in time. While in tissues like breast, the renewal, the cell division, it’s highly dependent on our hormonal levels and age, so we were not able to find estimates that we felt were reliable enough to give us a number that would have allowed us to do an analysis for those tissues.
I would certainly agree that luck will ultimately be one of the risk factors for prostate cancer, but the 60-fold differences in the global incidence of prostate cancer, AND the adoptive parent data I previously referenced, AND the similar (but different) studies of Asian twin brothers seperated early in life (one raised in western culture, the other raised in eastern culture) having different PC outcomes...all of these point directly to the strong influence of environment (lifestyle, diet, etc) on PC risk factors. My opinion...stronger influence than luck.
Again, I suppose it goes back to the question "what does one do with this data...?" Do what you can to manage risks? Or conclude that it just doesn't matter.