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Variance in PSA results
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Prostate Cancer
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pasayten
Veteran Member
Joined : Mar 2007
Posts : 539
Posted 5/4/2019 10:09 PM (GMT 0)
We have been following my PSA very closely (monthly) since it rose to above 0.20 after RRP removal and post SRT treatment. It has actually been very stable to the point of possibly indicating what someone might expect as a "variance" in readings at the ultra-sensitive 0.20-0.30 level, so I am posting the results here... Maybe this is what we can expect as an overall precision/variance of the test method.
4/18/2018 97 months post SRT - PSA = 0.24 (Local lab)
7/16/2018 Started care under Dr. Higano at Seattle Cancer Care Alliance (SCCA)
7/16/2018 100 months post SRT - PSA = 0.20 (SCCA lab)
08/08/2018 Axumin scan at SCCA - clear
09/14/2018 102 months post SRT - PSA = 0.15 (Local lab)
10/11/2018 103 months post SRT - PSA = 0.24
11/14/2018 104 months post SRT - PSA = 0.22
12/17/2019 105 months post SRT - PSA = 0.24
01/16/2019 106 months post SRT - PSA = 0.20
02/22/2019 107 months post SRT - PSA = 0.26
03/21/2019 108 months post SRT - PSA = 0.26
04/17/2019 109 months post SRT - PSA = 0.21
Cheers,
pasayten
Fairwind
Veteran Member
Joined : Jul 2010
Posts : 4107
Posted 5/5/2019 12:12 AM (GMT 0)
PSA anxiety can be a terrible thing ! Forget about
it ! Save your money ! Get on with your life ! It is what it is, Worry about
something else. Why go looking for trouble every month ? If there IS trouble, it will find you soon enough...Worry about
it then..
pasayten
Veteran Member
Joined : Mar 2007
Posts : 539
Posted 5/5/2019 12:36 AM (GMT 0)
No anxiety or trouble on my end... Already got over that at SRT...
More of a scientific interest now... And my med plan covers all.
Cheers,
Ray
Sr Sailor
Veteran Member
Joined : Sep 2015
Posts : 1483
Posted 5/5/2019 1:42 AM (GMT 0)
pasayten: Since you have a scientific interest, you can calculate the average and the Standard Deviation. This will allow you to decide on a statistical basis when a value is of concern.
pasayten
Veteran Member
Joined : Mar 2007
Posts : 539
Posted 5/5/2019 2:12 AM (GMT 0)
0.222 +/- 0.034
island time
Veteran Member
Joined : Dec 2014
Posts : 2388
Posted 5/5/2019 4:51 AM (GMT 0)
What does your doctor say?
pasayten
Veteran Member
Joined : Mar 2007
Posts : 539
Posted 5/5/2019 5:07 AM (GMT 0)
We are just happy it is staying constant... Maybe some benign tissue? Or a cancer now held in check thru an unknown process... But I do get a lot of prayer for it...
In any case, I am glad it stopped rising.
Cheers
pasayten
Saipan Paradise
Veteran Member
Joined : Sep 2017
Posts : 1371
Posted 5/5/2019 10:54 AM (GMT 0)
If you’re still with Dr Higano, just do whatever she says. Her reputation as a PCa MO is tops.
pasayten
Veteran Member
Joined : Mar 2007
Posts : 539
Posted 5/5/2019 12:04 PM (GMT 0)
Yep... Still with Dr. Higano... And she is great...
InTheShop
Elite Member
Joined : Jan 2012
Posts : 11468
Posted 5/5/2019 2:42 PM (GMT 0)
You could also just be seeing some of testing error in the test method. Chemistry at these micro levels is tricky and easy to get wrong. There could be variability in the test kit, a margin of error in the measuring machine(s), and our bodies don't behave as consistent as we'd like to think - PSA production can vary due to a number of factors, many benign.
I wish they'd also publish the margin of error for each test. I wouldn't be surprised to find that the lab can only produce results within .1% of the actual value which with your numbers means that each of the values you report could be wrong by +/- .02 ng/ml . Add to that the normal fluctuations in your body and effectively, all your numbers are the same within the known variability of the test method and the biology of the human body.
All too often we get obsessed with test precision and forget why we're doing the test. The point of the game is to decide 1) did treatment work? and 2) is more treatment needed? Post SRT (surgery + radiation) the next treatment mode is ADT which likely wouldn't be started until PSA climbs above 2, 4 or even higher. In this case, testing to .01 or worse, .001, while possibly interesting, doesn't help me decide if I need ADT or not.
Think of it this way - if you were planning to build a road between two cities, knowing how many inches apart they are isn't helpful.
pattersson
Regular Member
Joined : Apr 2010
Posts : 99
Posted 5/5/2019 8:13 PM (GMT 0)
Dear pasayten, I am a pretty similar case, my psa bounced to 0.14 about
a decade after surgery, and has varied around the 0.1 level for three years now. I am getting similar comments from my doc. Lets hope for many more years of stability for both of us.
DJBearGuy
Veteran Member
Joined : Dec 2008
Posts : 885
Posted 5/5/2019 10:44 PM (GMT 0)
pasayten,
Thanks for posting, that is very interesting. Kaiser only covers the less sensitive test, so I wonder if it has a similar standard deviation, or more? So maybe when I went from 0.2 to 0.3, and then back to 0.2, maybe it was really something like 0.24 to 0.28 to 0.24.
CuriousCharles
Regular Member
Joined : May 2017
Posts : 283
Posted 5/7/2019 6:14 AM (GMT 0)
Good advice from InTheShop.
A lot of good energy can be sucked out of the rest of your life if there's too much worrying about
the smallest details of test results. "Don't sweat the small stuff." (I know, easier said than done.) The tests are just general tools to help in decision-making.
(As a mental exercise, try rounding all your PSA results off to the nearest tenth, or, in some cases, to the nearest whole number. If you find yourself feeling a lot better about
it, you might have been "sweating the small stuff".)
Some of the Stage IV prostate cancer patients experience very significant PSA roller coaster rides as they go through treatments. (I'm one of them. See signature profile below. The anxiety comes in all flavors. We finds ways to cope.)
Charles
pasayten
Veteran Member
Joined : Mar 2007
Posts : 539
Posted 5/7/2019 11:28 AM (GMT 0)
To all... No anxiety or worry here... My intention of the post was that I have a somewhat unique situation of monthly results of ultra sensitive values to show how the numbers can bounce around what seems to be a stable PSA value... Maybe help to take the worry out of other's situations...
Cheers,
pasayten
Mumbo
Veteran Member
Joined : Nov 2018
Posts : 2608
Posted 5/7/2019 11:56 AM (GMT 0)
Take your temperature, glucose, or blood pressure hourly or daily and see what the variance is. Your PSA has much less variation than most blood testing results so hard to get too concerned about
such small variances. I know that we are hyper sensitive to all things prostate related so just another item to deal with.
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