Nice work, Ralph, thanks. I would like to express
almost complete agreement with your final paragraph, which starts out...
ralfinaz said...
It is of extreme importance for us to understand the significance of this. We need to support the postponement of treatment for those that might not benefit from early or unnecessary treatment but at the same time we should not create the notion that all GS 6 are indolent and will not or hardly ever progress .
Strong agreement. As you indicate with your "but" conjunction, we need to be attentive to both ends of the 3+3 range. On the one hand, we have guys who are 3+3 but have other characteristics (such as too many cores of PC) which would "disqualify" them from AS. They are not—in most cases—good AS candidates, and in fact the younger the patient, the more stringent the criteria needs to be for them. But on the other hand, we obviously still have plenty of patients who are good candidates for AS but are over-treated.
We need to aggressively treat the men that need treatment, and not treat the men that don't need it. As I said earlier in this thread...
Casey59 said...
Common misconception is that Gleason 3+3 alone means "low-risk." It does not.
While about half of all prostate biopsies result in Gleason 3+3, only about half or 3/4 of those meet the criteria for "low-risk." Men with low risk PC are encouraged by the NCCN to consider active surveillance after a second, confirmatory biopsy, but they should meet ALL the "low-risk" criteria, not just some of the criteria.
The next sentence in your final paragraph reads:
ralfinaz said...
In establishing a good protocol for active surveillance we promote a better quality of life for those men that should just monitor their disease while reducing their risk of progression.
Absolutely. If we can only help them in overcoming the "cancer hysteria" that drives many (not all) men to a quick decision for permanent, aggressive treatment without the full knowledge/understanding of the fact that they might not have needed to subject themselves to unnecessary side effects, etc. This is, I believe, a place where patient support groups (like HW) could really add value to the true "low-risk" newcomers.
Then, your final sentences in your last paragraph read:
ralfinaz said...
I firmly believe that remaining alert is the way to avoid occult progression. One day we will have better tools to avoid this risk, but we are not there yet.
I only partly agree. The well-run, well-monitored AS programs are very successful. Men in these programs receive treatment if they progress. I don't think we will ever be completely risk-free. We aren't risk-free in any other medical procedures, and won't be here. There is, however, always room for improvement.
Also, if you will allow me to add a comment on the conclusion of Study #5 which you posted; it reads:
ralfinaz said...
CONCLUSION: A proportion of men experience an upgrade in Gleason score while
undergoing active surveillance. Men who experience early upgrading likely
represent initial sampling error, whereas later upgrading may reflect tumor
dedifferentiation.
No disagreement with this, but I would only point out the additional fact that studies typically find a number of men are downgraded in subsequent biopsiesor post-pathology—somewhere close to about a third or half of the number that get a upgraded. [And wouldn't that suck to have been a truly "low-risk" guy who rushed into aggressive treatment, only to be downgraded...] In your Study #5, Carroll reports 33% upgraded, and didn't report a number downgraded; but, HERE's a similar study with a similar amount upgraded (27%), while 11% were downgraded.
Thanks much for your contribuiton.
Post Edited (Casey59) : 4/20/2012 2:44:39 PM (GMT-6)