Purpose/Objective
To estimate the expected comparative costs/Quality Adjusted Life Year (QALY)
gained of the guideline recommended treatments Active Surveillance (AS), Radical
Prostatectomy (RP), Brachytherapy (BT), EBRT and appropriate combinations
hereof incl. Androgen Deprivation Therapy (ADT) in patients with low,
intermediate or high risk prostate cancer over a time horizon of 10 years
from an UK-NHS cost perspective.
Materials and Methods
A decision analytic model was developed considering
survival, health related quality of life and costs associated with 1) initial
treatment and 2) management of relapse, local recurrence, metastasis, and 3)
treatment-associated complications and morbidities. The wide range of
appropriate treatments to be compared for low, intermediate and high risk
prostate cancers were based on NICE, EAU, AUA and NCCN guidelines. Survival,
relapse, recurrence, metastasis and complication rates, as well as
health-related quality of life and cost data were based on systematic reviews
of the published literature and expert opinions where required. Probabilistic
sensitivity analysis, using 10000 Monte Carlo simulations, quantified the
joint decision uncertainty surrounding model outcomes at the prevailing
threshold of £20k-30k/QALY.
Results
In low risk prostate cancer, AS has the highest probability for being
cost-effective (C/E), i.e. 70%. When AS is unacceptable to a patient, BT
dominates EBRT by generating more QALYs/patient (+0,06) at lower cost (-£14k)
over 10-years. EBRT is C/Evs. RP as shown by the incremental C/E ratio of
£7k/QALY which is far below the WTP threshold. In intermediate risk, EBRT+BT
is the dominating treatment (5,02QALYs at £14.7k; 65% probability C/E),
followed by BT as monotherapy (4,98QALYs at £16.9k; 35% probability C/E). RP
generates the lowest QALYs at relatively high costs (4,06 QALYs, £28.8k). In
high risk, all mono and combination radiation treatments dominate RP which generates
3,96 QALYs at £35.4 over 10 years/patient. EBRT+BT (4,7 QALYs, £35.1k) is
most C/E compared to monoradiation treatments by generating more QALYs at
only slightly higher total costs. BT (4,65 QALYs, £32.5k) dominates EBRT
(4,62 QALYs, £32.5k) and EBRT+ADT(4,47 QALYs, £37.7k).
Conclusions
Across risk groups, RP is likely to perform worse than radiation treatments
in terms of expected costs/QALY. In intermediate and high risk prostate
cancer, EBRT+BT is expected to provide highest QALYs at acceptable or lower
cost than monoradiation treatments and RP. In low risk prostate cancer, AS is
preferred in terms of QALYs, while BT dominates EBRT and RP in terms of
costs/QALYs. |
L.M.G. Steuten1, V.P. Retel2.
1PANAXEA bv / University of Twente, Enschede, The Netherlands.
2Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
QALY by nature includes cost factor, which I have put secondarily to treatment outcomes - none the less an interesting study.
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