Had surgery in November, 2009. Went great, no incontinence at all, quick physical recovery, clean margins, clean seminal vessels. Also, no erections after -- took a nerve bundle (I knew this going in). Also, had to repair a surgical hernia after. So surgery had some physical problems. Also, and more importantly:
> Gleason upgraded to an 8 on post-surgery pathology.
> Rising PSA seen only 18 months out of surgery.
> Doubling time (.07 to .13) in less than three months last summer.
> In four PSA tests between last July and November, PSA inched up each and every test.
So, I am just finishing 40 sessions of radiation and am in the midst of six months of preliminary hormone treatment. Medical oncologist tells me that the odds of this first round of treatment holding PSA off for a significant time are no better than 30%. I am in the highest risk category of dying from this thing within five years out from surgery (I am 2.5 years out now).
What seems to determine long term, post surgery outlook are three factors: Gleason; time to recurrence; PSA doubling time. Johns Hopkins published a study in 2005 or 2006? charting life expectancy based on these three factors. You can look it up.
My combination is the worst Hopkins documented -- 10 year survival less than 1%.
Ideally you want a Gleason of 6, recurrence after three years, and incremental increase in PSA, according to the Hopkins study. Survival rate for 10 years in this category is better than 90%.
So, if I had not done surgery, but rather opted for radiation, I could not be in a more dangerous spot than I am now. And I would have missed the side effects of surgery -- ED and hernia. But then, radiation is not without its potential nasty side effects.
No easy answer, I suppose. I think the Hopkins chart lays out prospects better than anything I have seen. Best wishes in your decision.
NewspaperLover
Age 68
DaVinci surgery, November '09
Gleason 8
PSA recurrence June '11
PSA: 07/11 .07; 09/11 .13; 10/11 .15; 11/11 .17.
Started hormone therapy (casodex + lupron).
12/11.
Started 40 session course of IMRT 03/12