Inchoation said...
...........
This question has rolled around in my head plenty since my surgery especially with my downgrade to G6. Would no treatment really offer me any better life expectancy than surgery? Impossible for me to know but I wish I'd had the chance to know prior to my surgery I was a 6 than opposed to after when it was too late and the decision was wrested from my hands.
But isn't that the real kick in the balls with this disease: how could you ever know that you were, in fact, a 6 without having the surgery? And they could have told you you were a 7, or a 6, and if you had the surgery you might have instead been UPGRADED to a 9 or 10! It could have gone just the opposite than it did for you. Point is: without the surgery you would have never known. Now whether it is definitely a good and helpful thing to know is a different discussion.
I keep telling myself: Self, If you had only been a 6, I would def not have had this surgery and maybe not even radiation. I would watchful wait and do what I could with alternative approaches. But if I had been a 6 on Bx, I would not really know that I was only a 6, would I?
I was in fact upgraded in a way: not my Gleason 9(5+4), but SVI+. My surgeon, based on his DRE, really felt
good about
my
chances of it being contained and thus offering me a cure. One of my main reasons to go with the surgery: so that I could know, and IF contained a probable cure. But though my nodes were neg, I was not contained, it was in the SV. So my probable cure is down to a lower chance now. But if I had gone RT, we still would not know this for quite a while, and then only if things did not work out. I guess watchful waiting was out of the question with a G9(but maybe not according to the OP), but who knows my G9 could have been downgraded and really been a 7. Still, only one way to know.
As much as anything else, I hope for future PC patients, they have a better means of diagnoses. The PSA ain't much, but it's all we got. The Bx is even worse, just look at how many men have 2 and 3 Bxs before finally getting diagnosed with aggressive PC. You know they had it the whole time once the PSA started rising, but multiple Bxs missed it.
Myeverything, you don't know if it was a G7 or G9? I have recently learned that the 4+3 G7s are a lot higher risk than the 3+4 G7s, really very close to the G8s and 9s. So if he is a 3+4 G7, his out look calls for a lot more years than the others, and he is more likely to die from something other than PC, at least for quite a few years more.
But here is a link to a study of conservative treatment of G8-10 compared to Radiation and surgery. Although, among the "conservative" about
40% still had Hormone therapy, as did your guy. Still, looking at over all survival, looks like about
30% in the conservative group survived about
10 years, with about
15% of the guys who had additional serious health problems still alive past 10 years(presumably most of these sicker guys died of other than PC). The author quotes other studies which show a range of about
13-40% longer term survival. As for a PC specific death rate, in the conservative group, either 10 or 15 years later(can not figure out which) 43% had died of PC.
What this does not tell us is: what is the quality of life for those who actually survived 110(Edit: I meant 10 years, 110 is probably a bit optimistic) or 15 years with little treatment? Was there much pain, for how long, etc. Even for the 27% ( in the conservative group) who died of other than PC, did the PC cause them a lot of problems before they died of something else? I do not know.
Bill
Post Edited (BillyBob@388) : 3/26/2014 7:10:11 PM (GMT-6)