island time said...
A 3+4 has a higher cure rate than a 4+3 and isn't in the same ball park as a 4+4.
That's correct...this stuff isn't really applicable/significant for favorable-risk cases, like yours was.
island time said...
It would be interesting to see the difference in cure rates between a 3+4 pathology that's 95% 3's vs. 51% 3's.
I can show you why this isn't all that relevant for favorable risk-cases. The logic is quite straight-forward.
While the specific information you asked about
is not available, your first instance of "a 3+4 pathology that's 95% 3's," well, that's just about
a 3+3, right? I think you were trying to describe the 3+4 case with the least G-4, so a slightly better case would be results from the set of all 3+3 cases, right? So, looking at a case with 3+3 would be MORE extreme on the favorable side, right?
And your second instance was "a 3+4 pathology that's...51% 3's;" that's 51% G-3 and 49% G-4, so the most G-4 in a 3+4 case, right? So a slightly worse case than this would be results from the set of all 4+3 cases. Right? So looking at a case with 4+3 would be MORE extreme on the unfavorable side.
So, directly to your question, the differences you are asking about
would be smaller than the differences between the slightly
better 3+3 case and the slightly
worse case 4+3. right?
I entered a pair common favorable-risk cases into a nomogram. 60 year old treated with surgery, no RT, no HT. Pathology was no PSM, no SVI, no EPE and no +LN. Pre-surgery PSA was 4ng/mL. Very common. Then I entered 2 difference scenarios of Gleason post-surgical pathology--one was 3+3, the other was 4+3. This is essentially "examining the margins" of 3+4, which was, I believe, your question.
15-year PC specific survival for 3+3 = 99%
15-year PC specific survival for 4+3 = 98%
As I said, the difference between the 2 scenarios you asked about
would be less than the differences between these more extreme cases.
The technical term we like to use to described these differences is: "mice nuts."
In other words, small.
Post Edited (JackH) : 5/23/2016 12:56:12 PM (GMT-6)