Gemlin-
The issue is NOT whether there are chronic effects of surgery or radiation that can
continue - it's very rare to have chronic effects for radiation but they do occur. The issue is whether NEW adverse effects due will appear after a long while that have never occurred before. The answer seems to be no - for both surgery and radiation, whatever side effects will occur have mostly occurred within the first 2 years of treatment.
The Swedish registry data
could have been analyzed to show this, but wasn't. They would have to show when the adverse effect first occurred - but they didn't do that. However, we can see that the
pattern is similar for those who got RT and those who were cancer free, indicating the overriding effects of aging. Also, doctors are much more attentive to patients who have been treated and come in for f/u monitoring compared to he matched controls who were not watched by treating physicians.
A better illustration is seen in the ProtecT trial where patients were randomized to RT, RP or AS (so there is no statistical guesswork needed to match controls). Also, it includes patient-reported outcomes - a much more reliable source of data than the registry data.
/pcnrv.blogspot.com/2016/09/patient-reported-outcomes-from-protect.htmlTable 1 - incontinence was a minor issue after RT and was similar to AS and did not decline over time.
Table 2 - urinary obstructive symptoms peaked at 6 months and then returned to baseline levels that were similar to men who had AS.
Table 3 - Bowel function decreased at the 6 month time point and then returned to close to baseline, and close to AS and RP.
Table 4 - Erectile function declined most at 6 months post-treatment, and then increased but not to baseline levels. Erectile function deteriorated slightly in
both AS and RT as men aged.
One can make the case that almost all radiation adverse events that will ever occur, will occur within the first 6 months.