TJ123 -
Okay, here's something that I think comes closer to answering your question.
That is, if we start with these parameters:
Patient was diagnosed with PCa
He had first line treatment (RALP or RT) for it.
He is now in year 1 (2, 3, etc.) post-treatment,
then what is the probability that he will experience recurrence of PCa in year 1, or in year 2, or later?
Well, there is a tool in the form of the Han Tables, which provide a calculator that produces an answer, although a bit limited, to this question, as follows:
" ... based upon PSA, surgical Gleason score and pathological stage, recurrence probability is calculated at 3, 5, 7, and 10 years following surgery." (from website below).
The limitations are that it is for surgery cases only (I didn't locate one for RT) and it calculates only for, as noted, years 3, 5, 7, and 10 following surgery. But it's helpful for what it does.
It's designed to function in preoperative and postoperative modes, so clearly we would use the postoperative mode.
Here it is, available for calculations, using the specific values one cares to enter into the calculator:
https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/brady-urology-institute/conditions_and_treatments/prostate_cancer/risk_assessment_tools/han-tables.html While limited, I read that it does have a good reputation for being reliable for what it does. (This seems to be confirmed by a lengthy discussion at end of above article on how this calculator was developed).