Hi BUSH.
If you'll allow me, please, to simply comment on your comment...
(I appreciate the spirit of your reply, and this is intended in that same spirit!)
BUSH said...
Finally, just a comment ( don't get me wrong ), but 51 % I'd call half/half not 'most'...
Right at age 50, it would be roughly half of 50-year olds...absolutely correct. Perhaps how it was stated in my preceding post was confusing.
But the point was more clearly stated in the post which preceded that one...what I said earlier was about the set of men over 50; specifically, "most men over 50 are walking around with ..."
A simple exercise using census (yr 2000) will help me demonstrate. (I could probably find 2010 census data, by sex, but I found this data very quickly...)
* There were nearly 76 million alive in the US in 2000. This is both men and women, but lets assume that the percentage of men alive in each age group is the same as the percent of men and women combined.
** 50-59 years: 30M, or 40% of the total population over age 50
** 60-69 years: 20M, or 27%
** 70-79 years: 16M, or 21%
** 80+ years: 9M, or 12%
So the weighted average for those "over 50" is approximately (age55*.4)+(age65*.27)+(age75*.21)+(age85*.12), or about age 65.5.
So, if the typical man in the US "over 50" is age 65.5...that translates into about 65% probability of PC, which I have called "most." So, I still contend that most men over 50 are walking around with PC. In addition to that, most of those men with PC don't know they have it, and it will never bother most of them.
More clear? Or did I muddy things up?
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I'm also blown away by your 790 ng/mL PSA result at biopsy...but I didn't notice any of your other PSA results either before or after which may have been an indicator this was an anomoly, or whether (perchance) the blood was drawn AFTER the biopsy was complete (which would have been a clinical error on the part of your urologist's office staff). Is there other PSA history? That is, as you certainly know, an unusually high PSA. It seems inconsistent with the rest of your case...
Post Edited (NKinney) : 7/10/2014 4:01:13 PM (GMT-6)