IdeaSave said...
JNF - I ran the numbers myself, and it came out to an 80% chance
I did the same thing. A high percentage of nomogram-predicted escape, coupled with my mpMRI report suggesting extracapsular extension, it seemed quite convincing. Multiple indicators pointing the same direction. The only counterpoint was my urologist, who thought the MRI was equivocal enough that he thought surgery still had a chance if I wanted it, though it would be, quote, "a wide excision, without luxury things like nerve sparing". That sounded like a higher than normal risk of some unpleasant, immediate, and permanent side effects. The urologist sounded relieved when I asked to consult with an RO, and he reinforced that radiation would also be a good option for me.
Radiation had a similar chance at getting a durable remission, and offered a different side effect profile that I thought sounded easier to live with.
Neither approach is perfect, proven, or guaranteed. Your outcome will be yours, and you'll have to be comfortable with it. Knowing the risks going in, and deciding which you'll accept, is helpful. If things go great, then great! They may not, but no one can know beforehand. All the studies in the world, all of the doctor histories you review, will never be able to tell you your particular outcome. It's simply too complex with our current level of technology.