Paul,
I would love it if he would respond, and perhaps I will forward it to him. I've met him, and know him to be compassionate and enthusiastic about
his work. I did watch the video of his PCRI presentation, and have a few comments about
it:
• It was a presentation to patients, not doctors. He is obviously trying to give patients with metastatic disease hope. If he went further than the data allow, his heart is in the right place. As he stated at the end, he was offering his opinions, not facts.
• He showed a score of before and after PET scans, showing how radiation or surgery can result in excellent local control of detectable metastases. PSA disappeared along with the mets, as we would expect. Ironically, he started the presentation with half a dozen cases where patients died despite no detectable PSA, and said we have to be cautious about
using PSA as the only tool to monitor progression.
• In all the cases but a couple, he offered 2-year PSA control as the outcome. Two years is not enough.
• Case studies are very useful for forming hypotheses. Pubmed is full of case studies of "miraculous" remissions. Kwon did not show the cases where it didn't work, except one. This is where science comes in - observations like his have to be tested in randomized clinical trials. "Gee-whiz" presentations are exciting, but what we want to know is if it really works, how much it works, and in whom it works.
Oddly, I have not seen any announcements of a such a randomized clinical trial from the Mayo Clinic. Last year, they began
a non-randomized trial in castration resistant men, but that's all I've seen from them so far.
There is one at Johns Hopkins that uses their DCFPyL PET for early detection, and they expect to report some preliminary outcomes as early as next year. Unfortunately, it is a small study and not long-running enough to detect survival differences. Here are details, if any are interested:
/clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02680587Other randomized clinical trials are ongoing in London and Montreal that will have larger sample sizes and are scheduled to run long enough to detect survival differences.