Okay, not Wuhan-style lockdown, as that is obviously too controversial. Australian-style then. I saw this post in The Guardian today.
Somebody said...
This is how my home town of Adelaide reacted to two people testing positive to the virus:
https://youtu.be/asXfjOi3fGA
A complete ghost town. No cars or people on the streets and totally deserted beaches on a 35 degree day. This is what a lockdown looks like. A couple of weeks later everything was back to normal. This is how to do it properly. This is why It makes headline news when one person tests positive in Australia. It’s more draconian in the short term, but it is far more effective and cheaper financially and in terms of people’s lives in the long term.
Meanwhile in the UK, we've had lockdowns and restrictions for most of the year. But because they are so poorly and inconsistently applied, they've not worked very well. We've just come out of a 4-week lockdown, and cases are already rocketing again two weeks later. They're not changing the rules for household gatherings over Christmas, so there will be an even worse wave of infections in early January.
We won't get out of lockdown/restrictions until next spring at the earliest - they're currently saying February but trust me it'll be April or May. That'll be a whole year by then - longer.
Yeah, you bet I would choose a Wuhan/Australian lockdown over that. Once you have got cases down to zero then you do need careful monitoring to keep the virus out, but no more lockdowns, masks or social distancing should be needed after that. However, to completely eliminate this wretched virus we are going to need to vaccinate most of the world, and I don't see that happening for years. Even in the UK, I won't be surprised if most people end up not being able to get the vaccine. Partly because the Tory government won't care about
it once the photo ops are over, but also because supply chains are going to be in chaos from the 1st January and medicines from abroad will probably be affected - especially vaccines requiring specialised cold storage of -70C.
Obviously I hope I am wrong, but I have not put a foot wrong with expecting the worst to happen so far.