Guardian7 said...
You might be interested in what the cochrane reviews (an unbiased meta analysis of studies) say about the flu shot here:
Clinical question:
How effective are vaccines in preventing influenza in healthy adults (aged between 16 and 65 years)?
Bottom line:
Inactivated influenza vaccines decreased the risk of symptoms of influenza and time off work, but their effects were minimal. In the relatively uncommon circumstance of the vaccine matching the viral circulating strain and high circulation, the NNT* to avoid influenza symptoms was 33. In average conditions (partially matching vaccine) the NNT was 100. There was no evidence vaccines affected hospital admissions, complication rates or transmission. Inactivated vaccines caused local harms (local erythema, tenderness and soreness), and an estimated 1.6 additional cases of Guillain-Barré syndrome per million vaccinations. * NNT= number needed to treat to benefit 1 individual.
Caveat:
These results may be an optimistic estimate because companysponsored influenza vaccines trials tend to produce results favourable to their products, and some of the evidence came from trials carried out in ideal viral circulation and matching conditions; also because the harms evidence base was limited. Fifteen of the 36 trials in the review were funded by vaccine companies and 4 had no funding declaration.
Context:
Over 200 viruses cause influenza and influenza-like illness (which produces the same symptoms).At best, vaccines might be effective against only influenza A and B, which represent about 10% of all circulating viruses. Healthy adults are presently targeted for influenza vaccination mainly in North America.
I wouldn't take it even if they paid me to do it. It would amount to nothing given the high NNT value.
Guardian7, thank you very much for this. Very interesting.
http://summaries.cochrane.org/CD001269/ARI_vaccines-to-prevent-influenza-in-healthy-adults